The ten-year disc upgrade clock just ran out and nobody is winding it

Yihnd

Member
DVD in 1996, Blu-ray in 2006, UHD Blu-ray in 2016. Ten years apart each time, tidy enough that you could set a calendar by it, so 2026 was supposed to hand us the next one. Instead the Blu-ray Disc Association is on record saying it is not developing an 8K format. That is not a delay, that is the cycle quietly ending, and I think it ends in the right place.

What is strange is that the current spec does not feel like something running out of room. Triple-layer 100GB discs, a 128 Mbps video ceiling, 10-bit, Rec.2020, lossless object audio. Almost nothing ships anywhere near that bitrate ceiling. The limit on how a disc looks in my room stopped being the disc years ago and became the master, the grade, and whether anyone paid for a fresh scan. Plenty of catalogue 4K discs I own are finished from a 2K DI, and no extra pixels on the platter fix that.

Then there is the supply side. Broadcast 8K exists in Japan and there are one-off sports experiments, but there is no film production chain running end to end at 8K, no player, and no studio itching to remaster the same eight titles again. A new physical format needs all three to appear at once, and the last time that happened the industry had a console maker willing to eat the cost of the drive.

So a genuine question for the disc people here: what would you actually put on an 8K disc that is not an upscale? I can name maybe a dozen films finished high enough to justify it, and I doubt any of them are ones people would rebuy.
 

lamjs

Member
The bitrate ceiling is the tell for me. We have had headroom sitting unused for a decade. We are not out of format, we are out of studios willing to pay for a proper encode.
 

SimonK

Member
What I want from a next format is not resolution at all. Guaranteed lossless audio, no lossy Atmos on a flagship release, and stop putting 4K on the sleeve when it came off a 2K intermediate.
 

zozo591

Member
An 8K disc would need 8K players, 8K masters and a reason to buy Aliens for a fourth time. Two of those three do not exist and the third one is doing fine without new pixels.
 
My worry is not 8K, it is whether anyone is still pressing UHD in ten years. Player choice is already down to a handful of models and two of them are the same chassis.
 

THE

Member
Counterpoint, DVD to Blu-ray was obvious from across the room. 1080p to 4K on a disc is already a lean-forward difference for most people. Nothing above that sells itself.
 

Lennon

Member
The nobody-presses-discs-in-ten-years worry has been going around since about 2014 and my shelf keeps growing. Slower, sure. Dead, no.
 

Jamsbond

Member
Layer count is the quiet limit, not resolution. Triple layer discs already have read reliability problems on some older players and nobody wants to discuss that.
 
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